Can Google predict the future?

By VisionwizTeam at April 27, 2011 | 3:31 pm | Print

Can Google predict the future?

Do you know what is the meaning of hindsight?Well, it means that perfect understanding of an event after it has happened.

Could this hindsight be programmed into a computer to more accurately predict the future?

Imagine if you can understand exact cause of the past events and analylze it with game theory to predict the future.

Few scientists think it could be done. At Tel Aviv University, few scientists are working on this concept with the help of Google.

Google thinks that academic input in algorithmic game theory and algorithmic mechanism design will greatly benefit the industry.In nutshell,Google want to know the future of internet users via their past actions or events.

Project:

Prof. Yishay Mansour of Tel Aviv University’s Blavatnik School of Computer Science launched his new project. His research will help computers minimize what Prof. Mansour calls “regret.”

His logic is:

“If the servers and routing systems of the Internet could see and evaluate all the relevant variables in advance, they could more efficiently prioritize server resource requests, load documents and route visitors to an Internet site.In that way they can predict the outcome in advance(like future prediction)”.

As we know computers can’t “feel” regret — but they can measure the distance between a desired outcome and the actual outcome.

In his recent works

Prof. Mansour recently developed an algorithm based on machine learning, or “artificial intelligence,” to minimize the amount of virtual regret a computer program might experience.By using this algorthim technique they have been able to change and influence the decision-making of computers in real-time.

Prof. Mansour adds that his algorithm will adapt to the situation at hand. Since Internet users, people, are not predictable, the algorithm in effect can study and “learn” as it is running. After the task is finished, the results are “almost as if you knew all the variables in advance,” says Prof. Mansour.

If his research went on to complete then it could be game changer for Google.

As compared to human beings, systems can act much more quickly & can process all the available information to estimate the future as events unfold — whether it’s a bidding war on an online auction site, a sudden spike of traffic to a media website, or demand for an online product,” says Prof. Mansour.

This project is funded by Google.

Tel Uni

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